市场资讯

The GBP/USD extended its losses for the second straight day, down 0.12% after a stellar US Nonfarm Payrolls report, which could refocus the Federal Reserve on battling higher inflation that has remained above target for five years. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.3205.

USD/JPY trades with a mild downside bias on Friday as lingering intervention fears support the Japanese Yen (JPY), even as the US Dollar (USD) remains firm against its major peers following the upside surprise in US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data.

The US S&P Global Services PMI in March reported that business activity in the sector is slowing sharply, falling to contractionary territory for the first time since January 2023, amid higher inflation and the war in the Middle East.

AUD/USD reverses earlier gains on Friday as stronger-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data supports the US Dollar (USD), adding modest pressure on the Australian Dollar (AUD), while price action remains subdued amid thin liquidity due to the Good Friday holiday.

The USD/CAD rises some 0.14% on Friday after an outstanding employment report in the US, which nearly tripled economists' projections, according to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

EUR/USD trades in a tight range on Friday as a stronger-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report lends support to the US Dollar (USD), while the Euro (EUR) holds relatively steady amid thin liquidity conditions due to the Good Friday holiday.

United States President Donald Trump is on the wires on Good Friday, claiming on Truth Social that the US can easily reopen the Strait of Hormuz, take the oil, and make a fortune.

USD/JPY trades flat on Friday, fluctuating between minor gains and losses as thin holiday liquidity keeps price action subdued. At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 159.58, with traders staying on the sidelines ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report.

The Euro (EUR) is trading sideways between 1.1530 and 1.1550 against the US Dollar (USD) in a holiday-thinned session, with most markets closed on Good Friday. The pair is on track for a 0.3% weekly appreciation, yet with price action trapped halfway through March’s trading range.

The Australian Dollar’s (AUD) recovery attempt against the US Dollar (USD) has been capped a few pips ahead of the 0.6920 level. The pair has been trimming gains on Friday, returning to the 0.6900 area at the time of writing, with all eyes on the release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls report.

The British Pound (GBP) trades slightly higher against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, as modest softness in the Greenback lends some support.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price steadies around $103.80 per barrel during the early European hours on Friday. WTI price gained over 10% as supply concerns intensified following renewed Iran threats from US President Donald Trump.

EUR/GBP’s reversal from one-month highs at 0.8740 found support above 0.8700 earlier this week, before stalling halfway through the last few days’ range around 0.8720.

The EUR/JPY cross gathers strength around 184.15 during the early European session on Friday. Trading volumes are likely to be thin due to the Good Friday holiday.

The United States (US) Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will release the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for March on Friday at 12:30 GMT. 

USD/JPY remains in the positive territory for the third successive day after registering over 0.5% gains on Thursday, currently trading around 159.60 during the Asian hours on Friday. However, the pair moves little due to thin trading activity amid the Good Friday holiday.

The US Dollar (USD) keeps the upper hand against its Canadian counterpart on Friday, trading near 1.3925 at the moment of writing, with the 1.3966 year-to-date high at a relatively short distance.

Here is what you need to know on Friday, April 4:

GBP/USD holds gains after registering over 0.5% losses in the previous day, trading around 1.3230 during the Asian hours on Friday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bearish bias, as the pair remains within the descending channel pattern.

USD/CHF remains steady after registering over 0.5% gains in the previous day, trading around 0.7980 during the Asian hours. The pair moves little as trading activity may remain subdued due to the Good Friday holiday.

The AUD/USD pair gains ground near 0.6900 during the early European trading hours on Friday. Hawkish tone from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) underpins the Australian Dollar (AUD) against the Greenback. Trading volumes are likely to be thin due to the Good Friday holiday.

Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee said on Thursday that he is concerned about the timing of rising oil prices, stating that they could hinder efforts to reduce inflation.

The GBP/JPY consolidates at around 211.00 as risk appetite turned sour due to increasing tensions in the Middle East after US President Donald Trump revealed that the US forces' mission would extend between two and three weeks.

US President Donald Trump touted the destruction of a bridge in Tehran, Iran. He warned that there was “much more to follow” and urged Tehran to “make a deal before it is too late."

US President Donald Trump signed an executive order that could slap up to 100% on certain imported medicines from companies that don't reach deals with his administration in the coming months, Bloomberg reported on Thursday.

Gold price (XAU/USD) faces some selling pressure to near $4,675 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal falls as US President Donald Trump's comments about the war with Iran spiked oil prices. Trading activity remains muted due to Good Friday.

UOB’s Global Economics & Markets Research, led by Enrico Tanuwidjaja and Vincentius Ming Shen, notes that Indonesia’s trade surplus widened slightly in February 2026 to USD1.27bn, extending 70 months of gains.

ING’s Min Joo Kang notes that South Korea’s March consumer price inflation rose modestly, with government fuel caps and food vouchers limiting the impact of higher Oil costs. Core inflation eased slightly, but ING expects recent energy and currency moves to push prices higher in coming months.

The NZD/USD pair is trading around the 0.5710 region, maintaining a bearish tone amid heightened geopolitical tensions and risk aversion, as the US Dollar (USD) strengthens.

Thursday's session was a downer for the British Pound. GBP/USD opened near 1.3300, sold off steadily through the day, and closed around 1.3220, losing 0.65%.

USD/JPY is heading into Friday's Asia session trading just below 159.60, and the setup going into the long Easter weekend is about as uncomfortable as it gets for Yen traders on either side.

Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur highlights that China’s economy started 2026 slightly better than expected, driven by a sharp rise in exports and a swelling current account surplus.

United Overseas Bank’s Quek Ser Leang notes that USD/SGD is currently under near-term pressure toward 1.2760, but the broader technical backdrop still points to a recovery phase in the second quarter.

The Australian Dollar retreats by 0.36% on Thursday following harsh remarks by US President Donald Trump, who, rather than seeking to de-escalate the conflict, warned that it would last 2 to 3 weeks and would hit Iran harder.

DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao discusses new Reserve Bank of India (RBI) measures aimed at defending the Indian Rupee (INR). The RBI has barred banks from offering rupee NDF contracts to residents and offshore users while keeping deliverable hedging channels open.

Standard Chartered’s Ethan Lester notes that global manufacturing PMIs stayed in expansionary territory in March for an eighth straight month, even as the pace of growth eased from February’s 44‑month high.

Silver (XAG/USD) trades with a downside bias on Thursday, coming under pressure as macro headwinds stemming from the ongoing US–Israel war with Iran weigh on sentiment.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) bounced back toward the 100.00 area after United States (US) President Donald Trump said the US would intensify strikes on Iran over the next two to three weeks, crushing hopes for a near-term de-escalation and reviving safe-haven demand for the Greenback.

Gold price recoils by some 2% as the US Dollar rises after US President Donald Trump revealed that the war on Iran would last from two to three weeks, pouring cold water on hopes for a quick resolution to the Middle East conflict.

Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur expects the Chinese Yuan (CNY) to edge higher against the US Dollar (USD) while staying undervalued versus most other currencies. The bank projects USD/CNY at 6.90 by June 2026 and 6.70 by late 2027, with EUR/CNY broadly stable.

Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) analysts point out that recent and prospective tariff changes, higher energy prices and CUSMA renewal talks will shape Canada’s macro backdrop, relevant for the Canadian Dollar (CAD).

The AUD/USD fell to near the 0.6890 price region on Thursday, as markets turned sour amid escalating Middle East fighting and a surge in the safe-haven US Dollar (USD).

Societe Generale’s Kunal Kundu expects the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Monetary Policy Committee to keep the repo rate at 5.25% with a neutral stance, focusing on stability after recent Oil and FX shocks.

ING analysts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note that Oil prices rebounded strongly, with Brent above $107/bbl and WTI near $106/bbl, after US President Donald Trump threatened a further escalation of the conflict with Iran.

TD Securities strategists Gennadiy Goldberg, Molly Brooks and Jan Nevruzi argue that proposed Basel III endgame and related US bank capital changes should ultimately support wider US swap spreads, particularly at the long end.

BNP Paribas analysts assess how the new energy shock from war in Iran and higher Oil and gas prices compares with 2022 for the Eurozone. They argue the current backdrop is less inflationary, with weaker demand and fewer supply constraints, and central banks now more reactive.

MUFG’s Lee Hardman argues the US Dollar’s response to the Middle East-driven energy shock has lost momentum. He cites lingering optimism about a relatively quick end to the conflict, a higher US policy risk premium, and yield spreads moving against the Dollar as key factors.

Gold (XAU/USD) trades on the back foot on Thursday, snapping a four-day rally as initial optimism that the US-Israel war with Iran could end soon faded after US President Donald Trump signaled continued military action in his address to the nation.

Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister argues that Mexico’s strong US export performance and extensive USMCA compliance have cushioned the Mexican economy and the Peso from recent US tariff shocks.

GBP/JPY trades with a mild downside bias on Thursday, though it lacks strong follow-through selling and trims part of its intraday losses as markets remain volatile.