市場情報

Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts some sellers to around $4,235, the lowest since March 23, during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The precious metal extends its downside on renewed tensions in the Middle East and rising expectations of a US interest rate hike this year.

Sterling finally got a piece of good domestic news and managed to enjoy it for about half a session. GBP/USD rallied from just below 1.3350 to a touch above 1.3400 on Tuesday, tagged the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and spent the rest of the day leaking back beneath the figure.

Six weeks ago Japan reportedly spent a record sum dragging this pair off exactly this shelf.

The Aussie Dollar edges lower, some 0.25% against the Greenback on Tuesday as the market mood turned sour due to Trump's threats to retaliate against Iran after a helicopter was downed in the Strait of Hormuz. The AUD/USD trades at 0.7027 after testing a six-week low of 0.7005.

The USD/CHF pair advances some 0.11% on Tuesday, trading near nine-week highs of 0.7991 as risk aversion boosted the Greenback, which has trimmed earlier losses to challenge the 0.8000 figure.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades with a cautious tone near the 99.90 region on Tuesday as investors position ahead of Wednesday's highly anticipated United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, with inflation expected to tick higher in May.

Trump announced on Tuesday that his military had concluded Iran shot down one of its Apache helicopters over the Strait of Hormuz during the overnight session, and that the US had no choice but to respond. Crude Oil's reaction was to fall.

Gold (XAU/USD) price plunges nearly 2% on Tuesday as tensions in the Middle East escalate afterUS President Donald Trump vowed a response to Iran's downing of a US helicopter near the Strait of Hormuz. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades below $4,250, down 1.93% on the day.

Silver (XAG/USD) tumbles more than 3.5% on Tuesday as price action remains driven by rapidly changing headlines surrounding the Middle East war. At the time of writing, XAG/USD is trading around $65.50, its lowest level since March 23.

The United States Dollar Index (DXY) trims earlier losses on Tuesday as traders swing between optimism and caution over a potential US-Iran deal.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said the war against Iran and its Lebanon-based proxy Hezbollah “has not yet ended,” though he insisted both are weaker than ever, CNBC reported on Monday.

Gold price (XAU/USD) trades with mild losses around $4,325 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal remains on the defensive near its lowest since March 24 amid uncertainty in the Middle East and rising bets of a US interest rate hike. 

Pound Sterling is supposed to be the high-carry name in the G7, and for most of this year that logic held.

There is a strange disconnect running through the Japanese Yen right now, and USD/JPY parked just above 160.00 captures it perfectly.

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights that the Korean Won (KRW) has outperformed peers after authorities intensified stabilization efforts. Measures include new FX rules, tighter oversight of offshore derivatives and FX hedging by the National Pension Service.

The Australian Dollar spent Monday trying to talk itself into a recovery, and the tape was not buying it.

UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann observe that USD/CNH edged higher toward 6.79 but upward momentum remains limited. For the day, they expect consolidation in a 6.7800–6.7950 range.

The GBP/JPY trims some of its earlier losses, turns nearly flat during the day at around 213.60, and is modestly down 0.09% amid a mixed market mood, an indication of cautious trading amid the ongoing environment.

The USD/CHF pair advances some 0.30% on Monday, as an inverted head-and-shoulders chart pattern is confirmed, along with price action leaving the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) below the current spot price. At the time of writing, the pair trades near 0.7981.

OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong notes that higher Oil prices and a firmer United States (US) policy outlook are pressuring Asia FX, particularly the Korean Won (KRW) and Indonesian Rupiah (IDR).

US President Donald Trump said that he would tell Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu not to strike back after Iran fired a salvo of missiles at Israeli targets in retaliation for an attack on the outskirts of Beirut, Reuters reported on Sunday.

UOB economists Julia Goh and Loke Siew Ting note that Philippine inflation unexpectedly eased in May but remains above the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) target, keeping risks tilted to the upside.

NZD/USD falls sharply towards the 0.5790 region on Friday as the US Dollar (USD) strengthened following a stronger-than-expected Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, while the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) struggled to attract buyers amid a cautious market mood.

DBS Group Research’s Chang Wei Liang highlights that USD/KRW has pushed above 1530 as weakness in semiconductor stocks adds pressure on the Korean Won.

Silver (XAG/USD) price tanks and challenges the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) near $67.79 on Friday, as the white metal registers a daily loss of nearly 8% and is poised to end the week down by almost 10%, amid a stronger-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls report.

Standard Chartered economists Jonathan Koh and Edward Lee revise their Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) policy rate path, dropping expectations for a 50bps off-cycle hike before the 18 June meeting.

DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao highlights that Indonesia’s onshore markets are under pressure, with the Rupiah at record lows and equities near six‑year lows.

The US Dollar (USD) rallied to near 100.10 on Friday, rising from a daily low of 99.16, after the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report showed the economy added 172K jobs in May, well above the 85K expected, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could raise interest rates later this yea

UOB’s Global Economics & Markets Research, led by Enrico Tanuwidjaja and Sathit Talaengsatya, argues that Thailand’s latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data confirm a cost-push rather than demand-led inflation backdrop.

NZD/USD slips to its lowest level since April on Friday as the US Dollar (USD) receives fresh bids in the wake of solid US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 0.5800 and is heading for a weekly loss of nearly 3%.

US Treasury yields skyrocket across the whole curve on Friday, with the 2-year Treasury note yield rising over 12 basis points, while the benchmark note, the 10-year, surges six basis points following an outstanding Nonfarm Payrolls report.

The Euro registers modest gains of 0.12% as traders remain optimistic about the outcome of US-Iran talks, which had been uninterrupted, as revealed by the Pakistani Foreign Minister to journalist Mallick.

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports USD/IDR has hit a fresh record high above 18,000, while Indonesian equities have slumped to multi-year lows.

The NZD/USD pair trades near the 0.5870 level on Friday, as the United States Dollar (USD) remains supported by cautious Federal Reserve (Fed) commentary and safe-haven demand amid ongoing uncertainty surrounding Iran.

UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/SGD has broken to a two‑month high near 1.2840, with strong momentum pointing to further Dollar strength against the Singapore Dollar.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell toward 99.18 early Thursday before steadily climbing during the North American session to 99.45 as investors digested comments from a series of Federal Reserve (Fed) officials ahead of the highly anticipated Nonfarm Payrolls report on Friday.

MUFG’s Lloyd Chan highlights that IDR is under particular pressure as rising US yields intersect with domestic policy uncertainty and higher energy prices.

Commerzbank highlights that Vietnam’s May Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose to 5.6% year-on-year, the highest since January 2020, driven by food and energy costs, while the trade deficit widened to a record USD 5.2 billion on strong import growth.

Silver (XAG/USD) price bounces off weekly lows at $72.46 on Thursday, trading near $74.00, up over 1.70% on the day, as market mood is mixed, with investors rotating out of technology stocks and into other sectors, even though tensions around the Middle East conflict remain high.

UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann report a sharp rebound in USD/CNH above 6.78, which invalidated their prior bearish view. They now see the pair as neutral, expecting consolidation between 6.7620 and 6.7980 near term, with 6.7850 and 6.7980 acting as key resistance levels.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil slips nearly 3% on Thursday as market sentiment improves following a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Lebanon. At the time of writing, WTI trades around $91 per barrel, snapping a three-day winning streak.

The Australian Dollar (AUD) drops some 0.70% on Wednesday against the US Dollar (USD) as risk appetite shifted sour as hostilities in the Middle East resumed amid the lack of progress in US-Iran talks to reach a deal

The NZD/USD pair trades near the 0.5860 region on Thursday, down more than 1% in the day, as the US Dollar (USD) strengthens following hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials.

Lorie Logan, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Dallas, said on Wednesday that inflation remains too elevated and warned that higher interest rates could be needed later this year if price pressures fail to ease further.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades with a firmer tone near the 99.50 price region as a stronger-than-expected United States (US) ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) rose to 54.5 in May from 53.6 in April, highlighting the resilience of the US economy and supporting Treasury yields.

DBS Group Research’s Radhika Rao expects Philippines inflation to climb further above the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’ (BSP) target, driven by food, fuel and currency weakness. She notes some easing in sequential pressures from lower fuel prices and utilities.

According to Fars, Saeed Ajorlou, a member of the Iranian negotiating team, outlined a four-stage proposal for a deal between Iran and the US

The Federal Reserve (Fed) released the latest Beige Book on Wednesday, which the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) uses in discussions about setting monetary policy. The Beige Book gathers information from the Fed's 12 districts and provides an overall picture of the US economy.

DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao notes that Indonesia’s May inflation accelerated on higher food and energy costs but remains within Bank Indonesia’s target band. She highlights weather risks, Rupiah weakness and a shrinking trade surplus as key concerns.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude Oil climbs to its highest level in nearly two weeks on Wednesday as renewed hostilities in the Middle East dent hopes of a near-term US-Iran deal that could reopen the Strait of Hormuz.