市场资讯

Rabobank's Senior Macro Strategist Bas van Geffen notes Brent futures have surged above $112 as the closure of the Strait of Hormuz persists and negotiations between Iran and the US remain deadlocked.

Silver (XAG/USD) declines and trades around $72.30 on Wednesday at the time of writing, down 1.02% on the day, after failing to establish a sustained move above the $74.00 area.

USD/CAD trades with a mild downside bias on Wednesday ahead of the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) interest rate decision due at 13:45 GMT.

Philip Wee of DBS Bank discusses the Federal Reserve’s expected decision to keep the Fed Funds Rate unchanged while Jerome Powell holds his final press conference as Chair.

The Bank of Canada (BoC) is widely expected to keep its monetary policy rate unchanged at 2.25% for its fourth consecutive meeting on Wednesday, requesting more time to assess the impact on inflation and economic growth from the US-Iran war.

Derek Halpenny at MUFG highlights that the Canadian Dollar (CAD) has held up well versus the US Dollar since the Middle East conflict began, with markets expecting the Bank of Canada (BoC) to keep rates unchanged but adopt a more hawkish tone.

TD Securities’ Global Strategy Team expects the Federal Reserve to keep the policy rate at 3.50–3.75% at the April FOMC meeting, describing the Committee as patient given balanced labor markets and oil-driven headline inflation.

Durable Goods Orders in the US increased $2.6 billion, or 0.8%, on a monthly basis in March to $318.9 billion, the US Census Bureau reported on Wednesday. This print followed the 1.2% contraction recorded in February and surpassed the market expectation for an increase of 0.5%.

ING analysts highlight that Copper remains more sensitive to macro conditions than Nickel, with prices falling for a fourth day on geopolitical uncertainty and global growth concerns.

The United States (US) Federal Reserve (Fed) announces its interest rate decision on Wednesday, another pivotal meeting for markets to gauge the stance of policymakers as energy prices remain uncomfortably high amid ongoing uncertainty in the Middle East, putting the Fed’s dual mandate under strain.

ING strategist Francesco Pesole notes the US Dollar (USD) has recovered as United States (US) equities wobble and geopolitical tensions persist.

DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao notes that India’s 10Y bond yield is moving back towards 7% as Brent Oil trades above $110 and markets price tighter policy.

MUFG’s Michael Wan notes United Arab Emirates' (UAE) surprise decision to leave OPEC/OPEC+ from 1 May, driven by dissatisfaction with quotas and significant spare capacity.

The US Dollar (USD) posts moderate gains against a basket of majors for the second consecutive day on Wednesday and remains close to two-week highs in the area of $99.00.

AUD/USD extends its losses for the second successive day, trading around 0.7160 during the European hours on Wednesday.

Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur explains that softer underlying inflation in Australia has reduced market confidence in another Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate hike next week, after two consecutive moves in February and March.

TD Securities strategists Andrew Kelvin, Robert Both and Emma Lawrence note that Canada’s Spring Economic Update leaves the FY26-27 deficit projection near Budget 2025 levels as stronger revenues fund CAD 37.5bn of new measures.

Deutsche Bank strategists note that United States (US) equities turned lower as AI-related worries resurfaced after a report that OpenAI missed internal 2025 targets.

The Indian Rupee (INR) extends its decline against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday.

Gold (XAU/USD) attracts sellers for the third consecutive day on Wednesday and slides back closer to a three-week trough during the first half of the European session.

Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Governor Anna Breman said on Wednesday that “the first quarter measures of core inflation have remained stable within the target band of 1–3%.”

GBP/USD inches higher after registering little losses in the previous day, trading around 1.3520 during the Asian hours on Wednesday.

The AUD/JPY cross declines to around 114.50 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The Australian Dollar (AUD) softens against the Japanese Yen (JPY) following the release of the Australian inflation report.

The AUD/USD pair continues with its struggle to conquer the 0.7200 mark and drifts lower following the release of Australian consumer inflation figures during the Asian session on Wednesday.

Australia’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) climbed by 4.6% year-over-year (YoY) in March, compared to a 3.7% increase reported in the previous reading, the latest data published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed on Wednesday.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price gains ground for the third successive day, trading around $96.90 per barrel during the Asian hours on Wednesday.

On Wednesday, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) sets the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead at 6.8608 compared to the previous day's fix of 6.8589 and 6.8347 Reuters estimate.

Silver (XAG/USD) edges higher during the Asian session on Wednesday, though it lacks follow-through as traders opt to move to the sidelines ahead of the crucial FOMC policy update.

Gold price (XAU/USD) holds steady near $4,600 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The precious metal steadies as traders await a key Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision later on Wednesday. 

NZD/USD gains ground after registering modest losses in the previous day, trading around 0.5890 during the Asian hours on Wednesday.

TD Securities’ Head of Commodity Strategy, Bart Melek, argues that Gold is under pressure as Oil-driven inflation keeps real rates elevated and raises the opportunity cost of holding the metal.

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong describe USD/SGD as slipping on broad USD weakness and expects two‑way, range‑bound trading in the near term, with resistance around 1.2780–1.2850 and support near 1.2720–1.2670.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Oil trades around $98.00 on Tuesday at the time of writing, up 3.21% on the day, reaching its highest level since mid-April.

TD Securities analysts expect Canada’s Spring Economic Update to show a CAD 60 billion deficit over 2026–27, slightly better than the prior budget shortfall.

Silver (XAG/USD) trades with a downside bias on Tuesday, down over 2.5%, as a higher-for-longer interest rate outlook continues to weigh on price action.

Standard Chartered strategists Christopher Graham and John Davies highlight that growing labour market slack and fragile domestic demand should limit second-round inflation effects in the United Kingdom (UK).

NZD/USD trades around 0.5890 on Tuesday, down 0.35% on the day, after failing to hold above the 0.5900 level. The pair moves lower as the US Dollar (USD) strengthens, supported by increased demand for safe-haven assets.

The Euro (EUR) trims a part of its intraday losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday as the Greenback loses momentum, with traders repositioning ahead of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate decision due on Wednesday, while continuing to monitor developments in the Middle East.

USD/JPY trades around 159.50 on Tuesday, up modestly by 0.07% on the day, after briefly falling below the 159.00 level following the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) policy decision.

USD/CAD climbs 0.33% on Tuesday, settling close to 1.3670 after a steady grind higher off Monday's intraday low near 1.3600.

Consumer sentiment in the United States (US) improved slightly in April, with the Conference Board's (CB) Consumer Confidence Index rising to 92.8 in April from 92.2 in March.

Gold (XAU/USD) slips to a near one-month low, pressured by a firmer US Dollar (USD) and mounting Oil-driven inflation concerns, as investors await clearer signals on stalled diplomatic efforts between the United States (US) and Iran to end the war.

BNY’s Bob Savage highlights that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its policy rate at 0.75% in a 6–3 split, raising core inflation forecasts to 2.8% and cutting growth to 0.5%.

Societe Generale analysts note Brent has rallied above $110 per barrel, with negotiations over Iran focused on restoring the status quo and reopening the Strait of Hormuz.

GBP/USD trades lower on Tuesday, hovering around 1.3490 at the time of writing, down 0.33% on the day as investors trim positions ahead of key monetary policy decisions from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of England (BoE) later this week.

In a post published on Truth Social on Tuesday, United States (US) President Donald Trump said that Iran has just informed them they are in a "state of collapse."

The British Pound (GBP) weakens against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Tuesday as the Yen gains traction following the latest monetary policy decision from the Bank of Japan (BoJ).

TD Securities analysts highlight that the European Central Bank (ECB) Consumer Expectation Surveys showed a notable upside surprise in 1-year and 3-year inflation expectations.

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) announces its decision to leave the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies (OPEC+), marking a major turning point for the balance of the global energy market.

Danske Bank’s Danske Research Team notes that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its policy rate at 0.75% with a closer 6-3 vote, reinforcing expectations for a potential June or summer hike.